I've watched enough high stakes action over the years to know that it's not just about skill. Every player who has reached the nosebleeds has skill. It's not just about aggression. Most every high stakes player is very aggressive, especially in PLO. Sometimes, it's about running well, whether it be for a session, a week, a month or much longer. A recent example on running well was my recent flipping blog entry where Phil Ivey won 8 out of 11 $100K flips against Ziigmund. Running well is sort of a code for being lucky. By lucky, I don't just mean you suck out a lot. I don't just mean you get double suited aces often. I don't just mean you get setup after setup in your favor, your opponent having a strong second best hand repeatedly. Some days every time you bluff they have the nuts, and every time you have the nuts, they fold. It is a combination of all of the above.
Late last night, as I was unwinding before bed, I saw some short handed high staked PLO going on, so I opened both 200/400 amd 300/600 tables for the roughly 600 hands that were played with Ziigmund, David Benyamine, theASHMAN103 and later OMGclayaiken. Most of the action was heads up or three handed. I went back and selected the 11 largest pots, each between $75k-$200k, except one.
It was clearly Ziigmund's night to prosper (winning 9 of the 11 biggest pots). But can you call it luck, skill or both?
Hand 1. OMGclayaiken on button, Ziigmund in the BB
OMG is dealt Ad Ah 3h Jc
Ziig is dealt 5d 2d As 8s
OMG opens on the button, Ziig 3bets in BB, OMG 4bets, Ziig calls (pot is $48.6K)
Flop - 8d 7d 3c
Ziig leads for pot, OMG reraises all in for 66k, Ziig calls
Turn - 9s
River - 8h
Ziigmund wins $175k pot with trip 8's
Ziigmund had 59.6% equity on the flop
Hand 2. David Benyamine on button, Ziigmund in the BB
DB is dealt 6h 4d 2d 2c
Ziig is dealt 10d 8c 7c 5d
DB limps, Ziig raises and called
Flop - 4h 6s Qd
Ziig checks, DB pots, Ziig check raises pot, DB calls
Turn - Ac
Ziig checks, DB pushes 18k into 38k pot, Ziig calls
River - 4c
DB wins $75k with a full house
Ziigmund had 53% equity on the flop and 32.5% on the turn
Hand 3. Ziigmund on button v. David Benyamine in the BB
Ziig is dealt 10d 7d 10s 3c
DB is dealt 10h 7s 6d 5c
Ziig bets, DB calls
Flop - As 5h 10c
DB ck, Z pots, DB CR to 16k, Z reraises DB all in for another 10k
Turn - 8d
River - Qc
Ziigmund's set wins over two pair
Ziigmund had 94.5% equity on the flop.
Hand 4. David Benyamine on button, Ziigmund in BB
DB is dealt Ks 10s 5h 5c
Ziig is dealt Jh 6s 5d 4h
DB limps, Ziig bets, DB calls
Flop - 4s 7s 3d
Z leads pot, DB 2.4x reraise, Ziig repots to 36k, DB calls
Turn - 10h
Z leads pot, DB calls his last 65k
River - Kh
Ziigmund wins the $200k pot with to Z
Ziigmund had 64.4% equity on the flop and 80% on the turn.
Hand 5. Ziigmund on button, theASHMAN103 in the BB
Ziig is dealt As Ac 9c 9h
ASH is dealt Kh Kc 4h 3s
Ziig bets pots, ASH calls
Flop - 3d Ad 3h
ASH leads nearly pot, Ziig reraises pot, ASH reraises pot, Ziig goes all in for a bit more
Turn - 2d
River - Jd
Ziigmund wins $195k with a full house
Ziigmund had 95% equity on the flop
Hand 6. Ziigmund in SB, David Benyamine in the BB
Ziig is dealt Js Jh Ac 9c
DB is dealt 8h 8s 5s 5d
Ziig bets, DB calls
Flop - 4c 7c 6h
Ziig chechs, DB pots, Ziig check raises pot, DB reraises, Ziig is all in and called
Turn - 10c
River - 4h
Ziigmund wins the $100k pot with a flush
Ziigmund had 39% equity on the flop
Hand 7. Ziigmund on button, David Benyamine in the BB
Ziig is dealt As Kh Qs 2h
DB is dealt Ac Ah 9s 6d
Ziig bets, DB 3bets, Ziig 4 bets, DB 5 bets, Ziig calls (pot is $64k)
Flop - 6h 5d 9h
DB pushes all in for 55k, Ziig calls
Turn - 10 h
River - 5h
Ziigmund wins the $175k pot with a flush
Ziigmund had 37% equity on the flop
Hand 8. Ziigmun on button, David Benyamine in the BB
Ziig is dealt Ac 8d 7s Kc
DB is dealt Kh 7h 10c Js
Ziig bets, DB 3bets, Ziig calls (pot is $7.2k)
Flop - Jc 9c 5h
DB leads pot, Ziig reraises pot, DB min reraises to 50k, Ziig pushes in for 11k more, DB calls
Turn - 8c
River - 3d
Ziigmund wins the $135k pot with the nut flush
Ziigmund had 58.5% equity on the flop
Hand 9. Ziigmund on button, David Benyamine in the BB
Ziig is dealt Ks Jh Jd 9s
DB is dealt Ac Ad 5d 10s
Ziig bets, DB 3bets, Ziig calls
Flop - 3d 2s Qs
DB leads near pot, Ziig reraises pot, DB goes all in, Ziig calls
Turn - Qh
River - 4s
Ziigmund wins the $74k pot with a flush
Ziigmund had 42% equity on the flop
Hand 10. Ziigmund on button, David Benyamine is in BB
Ziig is dealt Kc Js 10s 10h
DB is dealt Ad Qs 2d 4s
Ziig bets, DB 3bets, Ziig calls
Flop - Jd Qh 2c
DB leads pot, Ziig reraises, DB pushes for 32k, Ziig calls
Turn - 8c
River - Jh
Ziigmund wins the $75k pot with trip J's
Ziigmund had 47.3% equity on the flop
Hand 11. Ziigmund on button, David Benyamine in the BB
Ziig is dealt Kd 10d 9c 7h
DB is dealt As Ah 7d 4h
Ziig bets, DB 3bets, Ziig 4 bets, DB 5 bets, Ziig calls ($65k pot)
Flop - 10h 4c 6h
DB leads 52k/all in into pot, Ziig calls
Turn - Qd
River - 5s
David Benyamine wins $170k with Aces
Ziigmund had 32.7% equity on the flop
All in all a good night for Ziigmund.



