Can I believe my own eyes?
Is proof really proof?
Apparently, most people pay far less attention to data than might be wise.
Most of us would rather base our opinions on anecdotes, hearsay, theories and advertisements.
Data is difficult. Complex even.
And while we might be condemned to repeat history if we don't remember history, history is just so much data. And data is no guarantee of the future.
However, to paraphrase Winston Churchill, data is the worst way for us to form our opinions, except for all the other ways.
Except... for... all... the... other... ways.
Humans are emotional beings who often make judgments with the heart and/or gut, then look for evidence to verify that decision. This filtering of data to discern "information" consistent with what we want to believe is called my-side bias.
Players who chase a couple of outs to the river are seeing what they want to see. Or hope, even pray, to see. Players who make the hero call are often ignoring a mass of data suggesting a fold.
When confronted with evidence which is contrary to what we want to believe, we look for any scintilla of information to confirm our view. It's just human nature.
But it is probably bad poker.
And I have the data to prove it.
As many as 100% of all the hotshot instructors on all the numerous training sites make use of heads-up displays (HUDs).
100%. Maybe more.
So, to make a short blog even shorter, let me just say I am in the process of installing Hold'em Manager.
Oh, yeah, that's how I roll. Look out!!
To be perfectly honest,
I can't promise I'll play any better.
But I will for sure
be ignoring more data
than ever before
when I make that hero call.